The 2006 Hurricane name list is as follows:

Alberto
Beryl
Chris
Debby
Ernesto
Florence
Gordon
Helene
Isaac
Joyce
Kirk
Leslie
Michael
Nadine
Oscar
Patty
Rafael
Sandy
Tony
Valerie
William

WILMA
Wilma is the 12th hurricane of the season, tying the record for the most hurricanes to form in an Atlantic season.
There were 12 hurricanes once before in 1969 since record keeping began in 1851.
Wilma is also the 21st named storm of the six-month hurricane season, which ties another record set in 1933.
VINCE
The former Category One hurricane weakened to a tropical storm October 9 and became a tropical depression October 11.
The National Hurricane Center says Vince was the first tropical cyclone to make landfall in Spain.
Vince was the 11th hurricane of the season, and the 20th named storm.
TAMMY
Tammy was downgraded to a depression last week, spreading moderate rain across Georgia, Alabama, Tennessee and the Carolinas.
Tammy was the 19th named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, which began June 1 and ends Nov. 30.
STAN
Stan was downgraded to a tropical depression October 5.
NORMA
Norma was downgraded to a tropical depression September 28.
RITA
Rita was the 17th named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season.
PHILIPPE
Tropical Storm Philippe was downgraded to a tropical depression on September 23.
Maximum winds were 30 miles per hour.
Philippe was named a tropical storm on September 17.
It became a hurricane on September 18.
It weakened into a tropical storm again on September 20.
KATRINA
Tropical Storm Katrina was named on August 24.
Katrina makes first landfall August 25th, north of Miami.
The Category One hurricane caused flooding and 1,069 deaths across the Gulf Coast.
Hurricane Katrina strengthened to Category 5 storm on August 28.
Hurricane Katrina came ashore at the Louisiana-Mississippi border around daybreak Monday, August 29.
Flooding August 30th from hurricane and breached levees in New Orleans swamped the city.
Hit South Florida earlier in August.

TS Cindy and TS Dennis - interim updates.

Use the sidebar on the home page to get the latest news about current tropical Atlantic Information.

As of this writing (Tuesday, the 5th, early afternoon) TS Cindy will make landfall within 24 hours near the LA / Mississippi boarder. the Phamily evacuation plan does not need to be implemented at this time.

The forcast for TS Dennis may be of a little more concern. The long range forcast (3 - 5days) currently indicates that there is a chance of Dennis affecting Southern Florida, and the Florida Gulf coast, including Ft. Meyers, Naples, Tampa, Clearwater, and the surrounding communities. Whats more the forcast is for Dennis to be a Hurricane, and the potential exists for it to be a major hurricane.

We have Phamily willing to take evacuees in Central, East, and Northeast Florida (out of the affected areas) if it is needed. those of you who think you might be heading away from home, or those of you wanting to join the Phamily network and offer space, please contact us, as soon as you make the decision, so we can help make arrangements and get directions for you.


--- 11 am Dennis Forecast from NHIC follows -------

NOAA PRESS RELEASE

NOAA: 2005 Atlantic Hurricane Outlook
Issued: 16 May 2005

Atlantic Hurricane Outlook & Seasonal Climate Summary Archive

SUMMARY
NOAA’s 2005 Atlantic hurricane season outlook indicates a 70% chance of an above-normal hurricane season, a 20% chance of a near-normal season, and only a 10% chance of a below-normal season. This outlook is produced by scientists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center (CPC), Hurricane Research Division (HRD), and National Hurricane Center (NHC). See NOAA’s definitions of above-, near-, and below-normal seasons.

The outlook calls for 12-15 tropical storms, with 7-9 becoming hurricanes, and 3-5 of these becoming major hurricanes. The likely range of ACE index is 120%-190% of the median. This prediction reflects a very likely continuation of above-normal activity that began in 1995.

The predicted 2005 activity reflects 1) an expected continuation of conditions associated with the tropics-wide multi-decadal signal, which has favored above-normal Atlantic hurricane seasons since 1995, and 2) an expected continuation of warmer sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic Ocean than can be accounted for by the multi-decadal signal alone. The outlook also reflects the expectation of ENSO-neutral conditions (no El Niño or La Niña) during August-October, the peak months of the hurricane season. An updated Atlantic hurricane outlook will be issued in early August.

issued April 2005

According to Colorado State University's William M. Gray and Philip J. Klotzbach, the upcoming "hurricane season" will be busier than usual in the Atlantic Basin. They also see an above-average probability of a major hurricane making landfall in the U.S.

"Information obtained through March 2005 indicates that the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season will be an active one. We estimate that 2005 will have about 7 hurricanes (average is 5.9), 13 named storms (average is 9.6), 65 named storm days (average is 49), 35 hurricane days (average is 24.5), 3 intense (category 3-4-5) hurricanes (average is 2.3) and 7 intense hurricane days (average is 5.0). We expect Atlantic basin Net Tropical Cyclone (NTC) activity in 2005 to be about 135 percent of the long-term average. The probability of U.S. major hurricane landfall is estimated to be 140 percent of the long-period average. We expect this year to continue the past-decade trend of above-average hurricane seasons".

PROBABILITIES FOR AT LEAST ONE MAJOR (CATEGORY 3-4-5) HURRICANE LANDFALL ON EACH OF THE FOLLOWING COASTAL AREAS:

* Entire U.S. coastline - 73% (average for last century is 52%)
* U.S. East Coast Including the Florida Peninsula - 53% (average for last century is 31%)
* Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville - 41% (average for last century is 30%)
* Expected above-average major hurricane landfall risk in the Caribbean

Full Outlook Follows